Publications

 

The dynamics of disappearing routine jobs: a flows approach  .
labour economics, august 2020.  with guido matias cortes, nir jaimovich, and chris nekarda.   doi
see the media coverage at the new york times, engadget, fivethirtyeight, the washington center for equitable growth, and the globe and mail; see our summary column at voxeu.org.

Job polarization and jobless recoveries  .
review of economics and statistics, march 2020.  with nir jaimovich.   doi
see the media coverage at the new york times (also appearing in the globe and mail, irish independent, belfast telegraph, and reuters), the atlantic, bloomberg, businessweek (also appearing in financial post and the boston globe), forbes, businessweek, austin american-statesman (also appearing in pittsburgh post-gazette and the vancouver sun), bloomberg, standard-examiner, the new york times, us news and world report, huffington post, chicago sun-times, the atlantic (also appearing in national journal), the associated press (appearing in washington post, san francisco chronicle, salon.com, huffington post, abc news, and yahoo news), deseret news, the globe and mail, the associated press (appearing in washington post, financial post, boston globe, minneapolis star tribune, san jose mercury news, and abc news), and the washington post; see the blog coverage at macromania, macroblog, ippr, the economist, the washington post, new statesman, economist's view, the wall street journal, the washington post, economist's view, mother jones, american enterprise institute, the new york times, brad delong, the economist, and the economist; see the summaries in the st. louis fed's regional economist, the nber digest, the dallas fed's economic letter, and our column at voxeu.org.

How automation and other forms of IT affect the middle class: assessing the estimates  .
brookings economic studies report, november 2019.  with nir jaimovich.   link

Refugees from dust and shrinking land: tracking the Dust Bowl migrants  .
journal of economic history, december 2018.  with jason long.   doi
see the media coverage at the wall street journal, pbs newshour (as summarized by the nber digest), the chicago booth review, and (briefly) at the washington post.

Disappearing routine jobs: who, how, and why?  .
journal of monetary economics, november 2017.  with guido matias cortes and nir jaimovich.   doi
see the media coverage at the wall street journal and various sources via the associated press.

High-skilled immigration, STEM employment, and non-routine-biased technical change  .
in high-skilled migration to the United States and its economic consequences, NBER volume, university of chicago press, may 2018.  with nir jaimovich.   link

What should i be when i grow up? occupations and unemployment over the life cycle  .
journal of monetary economics, october 2016.  with martin gervais, nir jaimovich, and yaniv yedid-levi.   doi
see the media coverage at fivethirtyeight, the washington center for equitable growth, yahoo! finance, the atlantic (also appearing at big think and deseret news), the washington post, the new york times and abc radio national.

Jobless recoveries  .
third way NEXT, april 2015.  with nir jaimovich.   link
see the media coverage at the wall street journal (also appearing at slate.fr), brookings institution, deseret news, the bbc world update (begins at 8:50 mark), the wall street journal, the atlantic, airtalk (npr - los angeles), and mit technology review.

Technological learning and labor market dynamics  .
international economic review, february 2015.  with martin gervais, nir jaimovich, and yaniv yedid-levi.   doi

The demand for youth: explaining age differences in the volatility of hours  .
american economic review, december 2013.  with nir jaimovich and seth pruitt.   doi

The young, the old, and the restless: demographics and business cycle volatility  .
american economic review, june 2009.  with nir jaimovich.   doi
see the coverage in the minneapolis fed's the region, the richmond fed's around the fed, and the american; see the blog coverage at greg mankiw's blog, new economist, economist's view, and newsweek.

Time consistent monetary policy with endogenous price rigidity  .
journal of economic theory, january 2008.   doi

The fiscal role of conscription in the US World War II effort  .
journal of monetary economics, september 2008.   doi
the supplementary material is available here .

State dependent pricing and business cycle asymmetries  .
international economic review, february 2007.  with mick devereux.   doi

Fluctuations in convex models of endogenous growth ii: business cycle properties  .
review of economic dynamics, october 2005.  with larry jones and rody manuelli.   doi
an earlier version is available as nber working paper w7633 and federal reserve bank of minneapolis staff report 271.

Fluctuations in convex models of endogenous growth i: growth effects  .
review of economic dynamics, october 2005.  with larry jones, rody manuelli, and ennio stacchetti.   doi .

Optimal fiscal and monetary policy with sticky prices  .
journal of monetary economics, april 2004.   doi
an extended version is available as ubc economics discussion paper 02-13 .